Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 9.793422 11.321179 12.958204 14.837012 16.927754 19.176923 21.773388
2025-07-06 7.939138 9.944773 12.228049 15.000034 18.253525 21.929984 26.376395
2025-07-13 6.819479 9.137126 11.910941 15.434235 19.746202 24.806144 31.143745
2025-07-20 5.926803 8.435503 11.573918 15.719570 20.976596 27.342632 35.548247
2025-07-27 5.113180 7.704535 11.083001 15.708471 21.764027 29.303801 39.268576
2025-08-03 4.241767 6.774132 10.215874 15.097785 21.690311 30.120233 41.528315
2025-08-10 3.653224 6.156490 9.690427 14.864944 22.046654 31.445688 44.427389
2025-08-17 3.129788 5.564526 9.132707 14.520592 22.196477 32.464551 46.919049
2025-08-24 2.733893 5.115085 8.729922 14.346172 22.540979 33.722320 49.733061
2025-08-31 2.355003 4.643770 8.245126 14.002655 22.604633 34.571050 51.991646
2025-09-07 2.122305 4.384654 8.058287 14.078457 23.256557 36.235524 55.394446
2025-09-14 1.884690 4.086754 7.779960 13.985765 23.640461 37.517446 58.284276
2025-09-21 1.718409 3.898934 7.667243 14.146064 24.411991 39.384629 62.066092
2025-09-28 1.571591 3.728628 7.566878 14.313280 25.191753 41.278590 65.929031
2025-10-05 1.480961 3.655225 7.624516 14.736058 26.376829 43.795036 70.746453
2025-10-12 1.376621 3.541099 7.598856 15.012998 27.335846 45.995507 75.151422
2025-10-19 1.242778 3.348340 7.413633 15.003140 27.828557 47.500384 78.561990
2025-10-26 1.051200 3.003677 6.915264 14.414931 27.348764 47.499019 79.721657
2025-11-02 0.925314 2.785886 6.636232 14.190717 27.447938 48.377840 82.207154
2025-11-09 0.802807 2.556248 6.311530 13.859012 27.344412 48.926158 84.191544
2025-11-16 0.710231 2.384135 6.085473 13.691013 27.504593 49.885027 86.815686
2025-11-23 0.613977 2.185649 5.784926 13.360150 27.362523 50.347773 88.672159
2025-11-30 0.560772 2.092480 5.698997 13.433162 27.925450 51.956052 92.343466